Africa could soon suffer seriously from the global
credit crisis as Western countries start to build
up huge amounts of debt in an effort to head off
an international recession.
African ministers are concerned that the West will
become so focused on domestic problems that they
will ignore their development pledges for Africa.
The serious threat to African economies posed by
the global financial crisis was an emerging theme
at the World Economic Forum in Davos on January
27-31.
Politicians and economists stressed that an era of
relative optimism about Africa’s economic
prospects was coming to a close.
A number of key reasons are now emerging as to why
the financial crisis could threaten Africa’s
economies, which have felt themselves relatively
insulated against the mounting credit problems.
First is the issue of trade and financial
protectionism where Western ministers will be
under pressure to direct loans towards their own
markets at the expense of others.
Second are concerns about the fall in commodity
prices.
Agriculture is also suffering from the high price
of fertiliser, which is inhibiting investment.
Finally African economies are also suffering from
a fall in remittances from their own Diaspora who
themselves have been hit by the credit crunch in
the West.
Speaking to the opening session in Davos, Trevor
Manuel, South Africa’s finance minister, said that
Africa’s economies were “at risk of decoupling,
derailment and abandonment.”
Mr Manuel also believes that the huge volume of
debt being issued by countries like the US and the
UK could crowd out other sovereign borrowers.
The South African minister’s concerns are shared
by Kofi Annan, the former secretary-general of the
United Nations, who told the UK-based Financial
Times: “Africa had nothing to do with the
sub-prime crisis but we are all going to be
affected.”
|